With a little over a week to go, there is one major federal issue I have not recently wargamed: The United States Senate. The Senate is vital to the implementation of any presidential agenda; not only does this upper house have an up-or-down on all legislation, but they are also responsible for the “advise and consent” function for executive branch officials and, perhaps most important of all, federal judges – including Supreme Court justices.
If Donald Trump and JD Vance win this election, which is looking increasingly likely, they’ll need a friendly Congress. So, let’s take a look at some key Senate races and how the balance of the Senate is liable to turn out. My friend and colleague Jennifer Oliver O’Connell took a look at the Senate races a couple of weeks ago as well:
Let’s look at how things stand now, nine days before the election. The RealClearPolitics average compilation of the Senate has the GOP already holding a two-seat lead, 51-49, assuming current polling holds. The toss-up states are Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
- Michigan. At the moment, in the RCP averages, Democrat Elissa Slotkin is leading Republican Mike Rogers by a narrow but comfortable margin of three points – but much of that comes from a Quinnipiac poll done on 10/17 – 10/21 that has Slotkin up by eight points, which feels a lot like an outlier. Even so, for the moment, we’ll award this state to the Democrats.
- Nevada. The RCP averages have Democrat Jacky Rosen leading Republican Sam Brown by an even more comfortable 4.9 points. The polling has been pretty consistent since early October, so in an abundance of caution, we have to also award this seat to the Democrats.
- Ohio. This one’s a nail-biter. The RCP average has Democrat Sherrod Brown leading Republican Bernie Moreno by a squeaker – one point. But there may be a twist there, and I am going to break a rule and go with a gut feeling on this one, and here’s why: while Brown has the advantage of incumbency, which is something of a problem to surmount, Ohio is becoming an increasingly-red state, and in the presidential race, Donald Trump is holding a very comfortable seven-point lead. My gut tells me Bernie Moreno may pull this one out, so I’m tentatively and hopefully giving this seat to the GOP; Moreno may be able to ride Trump’s coattails to a victory.
- Pennsylvania. Another nail-biter. Incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr. is leading Republican Dave McCormick by a skosh over a point and a half. Donald Trump is polling even closer, leading by 0.6 points. That’s a squeaker by any measure, and while Pennsylvania is something of a wild card in this election, I’m going to have to give the incumbent the win here.
- Wisconsin. The Badger State may well be the most tossup-ey of the toss-ups. The race is just damn near a tie between the incumbent, Democrat Tammy Baldwin, and her GOP challenger Eric Hovde. The most recent polls show little movement since early October; a Trafalgar poll taken 10/18-10/20 has Hovde up by a point, a Quinnipiac poll on 10/17-10/21 has Baldwin likewise up a point, while an Emerson poll taken 10/21-10/22 shows a tie. The presidential race is still essentially tied, with Trump leading by a razor-thin margin of 0.2 points. In an abundance of caution, I’ll give this one to the incumbent. […]
— Read More: redstate.com
It’s becoming increasingly clear that fiat currencies across the globe, including the U.S. Dollar, are under attack. Paper money is losing its value, translating into insane inflation and less value in our life’s savings.
Genesis Gold Group believes physical precious metals are an amazing option for those seeking to move their wealth or retirement to higher ground. Whether Central Bank Digital Currencies replace current fiat currencies or not, precious metals are poised to retain or even increase in value. This is why central banks and mega-asset managers like BlackRock are moving much of their holdings to precious metals.
As a Christian company, Genesis Gold Group has maintained a perfect 5 out of 5 rating with the Better Business Bureau. Their faith-driven values allow them to help Americans protect their life’s savings without the gimmicks used by most precious metals companies. Reach out to them today to see how they can streamline the rollover or transfer of your current and previous retirement accounts.
