CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Friday that the current percentage of Americans who believe the U.S. is on the right track is a “bad sign” for Vice President Kamala Harris.
An average of 28% of Americans currently believe the country is on the right track, which historically puts an incumbent party on track to lose an upcoming election, Enten said. The CNN reporter said that the incumbent party normally loses an election if an average of 25% believe the nation is on the right track, while a party is likely to win if that number ticks up to an average of 42%.
“When does the average, when an incumbent party loses the election? Look at that, it’s just 25%. That looks a heck of a lot like that 28% that currently think the country is on the right track,” Enten said. “When the White House party wins … 42% on average think the country is on the right track. This 25% looks a lot more like this 28%, it doesn’t look anything like this 42%, this to me is a bad sign for Kamala Harris’ campaign. The bottom line is, it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner when it comes to the country being on the right track.”
The current 28% is significantly lower than the averages past incumbent presidents had when they won reelection. The averages ranged from 39% in the 1996 election up to 47% during the election of 1984, when former President Ronald Reagan won reelection. […]
— Read More: dailycallernewsfoundation.org
