Democrats rely on early voting and mail-in voting as they beat the bushes for weeks to get their voters to the polls. In 2020, 70% of the electorate cast votes before election day. Democrats benefitted from the higher turnout and have made a pandemic-era measure into a permanent fixture in elections.
Even Republicans have now tentatively embraced early voting. Will it make as big a difference in the outcome as it did in 2020?
Early indications are that early voting is way down from 2020. At this point in 2020, 45% more voters had already cast their ballots. Some of that is due to changes in the start dates from early voting.
Perhaps more significantly requests for mail-in ballots are down a whopping 58% from this point in 2020.in states that don’t send mail ballots to all voters.
Certainly, in states ravaged by the hurricanes, early voting is far down the list of storm victim’s priorities. The point is that the numbers in all states are expected to improve but come nowhere near what we saw in 2020. […]
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