The prevalent thought about the ongoing presidential race is that things couldn’t be much closer. I’ve been thinking that way myself, based on the data. But I also look at trends — and, like anyone else, I have a gut feeling about all this. Granted, that gut feeling is worth every penny you paid for it, but I will say that my gut, along with the rest of me, has been watching presidential elections like a lot of guys watch sportsball since 1976, so my gut has seen some surprises.
A Fox News piece released Friday claims the current race is a “dead heat.” Is it?
A new Wall Street Journal poll has found little separation between former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in seven battleground states, prompting a Democratic pollster to say that the 2024 election “really could not be closer.”
The survey of 600 registered voters in each of the states, which was conducted Sept. 28-Oct. 8 with a margin of error of +/-4 percentage points, found that in a head-to-head contest, Trump and Harris are tied in North Carolina and Wisconsin.
Harris leads Trump 48%-46% in Arizona and Georgia, and 49%-47% in Michigan, according to the poll. In Nevada, Trump has his biggest swing state lead of 49%-43%, while he leads Harris in Pennsylvania 47%-46%, the poll also found.
“It really could not be closer,” Democrat Michael Bocian, one of the pollsters who worked on the survey, told The Wall Street Journal. “It’s an even-steven, tight, tight race.”
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— Read More: redstate.com
