The Daily Signal fact-checked many of her claims.

‘Terminate the Constitution’

Harris touted the fact that former Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., endorsed her against Trump. The vice president said Cheney backed her due to “a legitimate fear, based on Donald Trump‘s words and actions, that he will not obey an oath to support and defend the Constitution of the United States.”

“He himself has said he would terminate the Constitution of the United States,” she added.

The claim traces back to a post Trump wrote on Truth Social on Dec. 3, 2022. In that post, the former president wrote of the 2020 presidential election, “A Massive Fraud of this type and magnitude allows for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution.”

He added, “Our great ‘Founder’ did not want, and would not condone, False & Fraudulent Elections!”

Fellow Republicans criticized his comments, and Trump later clarified that he would not terminate the Constitution.

In a follow-up post, he condemned the legacy media’s interpretation of his post.

“The Fake News is actually trying to convince the American People that I said I wanted to ‘terminate’ the Constitution,” Trump said in a Truth Social post on Dec. 5, 2022.

Kamala Harris repeats the claim that Trump would "terminate the Constitution of the United States."

That's an exaggeration. He briefly called for the "termination of rules" in order to reverse what he claimed to have been a fraudulent election, and he later clarified that… pic.twitter.com/8zaFqYZ2eo

— Tyler O'Neil (@Tyler2ONeil) October 24, 2024

Hitler’s Generals

Harris said she believed Trump is a fascist and she repeatedly tied him to the Nazi dictator Adolf Hitler.

Harris claimed that Trump said to his generals “in essence, why can’t you be more like Hitler’s generals?”

Remember that anonymous-sources Atlantic article claiming Trump didn't want to pay for the funeral of that "f—ing Mexican"? The article that @MarkMeadows denied and @mguilen_ (the sister of the murdered Army private) condemned The Atlantic for? Kamala Harris just referenced… pic.twitter.com/s02qzMfPMD

— Tyler O'Neil (@Tyler2ONeil) October 24, 2024

The vice president was referencing an Atlantic article by Jeffrey Goldberg citing anonymous sources, claiming Trump said, “I need the kind of generals that Hitler had.”

Trump spokesman Alex Pfeiffer said the claim is “absolutely false,” and that “President Trump never said this.”

That article claimed Trump ordered then-White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows not to pay for the funeral of 20-year-old Army private Vanessa Guillén, calling her a “f—ing Mexican.” Meadows denied the story and Guillén’s sister accused The Atlantic of “exploiting my sister’s death for politics.”

Wow.
I don’t appreciate how you are exploiting my sister’s death for politics- hurtful & disrespectful to the important changes she made for service members. President Donald Trump did nothing but show respect to my family & Vanessa. In fact, I voted for President Trump today. https://t.co/o8cDrKOKBV

— Mayra Guillen (@mguilen_) October 22, 2024

‘Suckers and Losers’

Harris claimed that Trump referred to members of the military as “suckers and losers,” that “he demeans people who have taken an oath to sacrifice their life for our country.”

The claim that Trump called members of the military “suckers” and “losers” originates from a 2020 article published in The Atlantic relying on anonymous sources. Trump has consistently disputed the reports.

‘Price Gouging’

Harris attributed inflation to “price gouging.” When CNN’s Cooper asked her about whether the Trump administration or the Biden administration was responsible for inflation, she suggested that her experience as attorney general in California would help her fight inflation.

“How I come to it is probably a new approach grounded in a lot of my experiences as a former attorney general, where I took on price gouging and part of my plan is to create a new approach that is the first time that we will have a national ban on price gouging, which is companies taking advantage of the desperation and need of the American consumer and jacking up prices without any consequence or accountability,” she said.

Kamala Harris suggests price gouging is responsible for inflation.

FACT CHECK: Pants on fire

The consumer price index has increased less than the producer price index, which means that companies, on a whole, are taking a loss on prices. They are tightening their belts as… pic.twitter.com/B6rISafDOw

— Tyler O'Neil (@Tyler2ONeil) October 24, 2024

Other Democrats, such as President Joe Biden and Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., have attributed inflation to companies’ greed.

As Heritage Foundation Research Fellow EJ Antoni pointed out, there is a far more obvious culprit: government spending.

As Antoni noted, “One of the functions of money is that of a measuring tool. If a yardstick were to shrink from 36 inches down to just 30, it would take 120 of these shortened yardsticks to cover the distance of a football field, instead of 100. As the dollar has lost value, it takes more dollars to measure the value of the things we buy.”

While Americans feel the pain of inflation, so do businesses. According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, “businesses have gotten the short end of the stick,” Antoni explained. “The producer price index is used to measure inflation on the products and services businesses buy—sometimes called wholesale inflation—and that index has risen 17.5% since Biden took office. Conversely, the consumer price index, the widely cited metric for inflation faced by American families, is up 17.1% over that same time.”

“Businesses have actually been sheltering consumers from some cost increases in an effort to maintain market share and not lose customers,” he wrote. “That also explains why, according to the Biden administration’s Census Bureau, total corporate profits have fallen for the last six quarters after adjusting for inflation.”

“If alleged price gouging were really the cause of inflation, did businessmen magically become greedy when Biden took office?” Antoni asked. “Were corporations never greedy in the 40 years leading up to Biden’s inflationary expansion of government? Businesses haven’t even passed all their higher costs on to consumers; if they’re trying to be greedy, they’re doing it all wrong.”

If inflation is caused by corporate "greed" then why are producer and consumer prices both up by 19% since Jan '21 w/ consumer price increases only just recently catching up to price increases faced by businesses? Asking for a friend… pic.twitter.com/EBLwxyEEwR

— E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) April 15, 2024

‘Women Have Died’

When discussing state abortion laws in the wake of the Supreme Court striking down the abortion precedent Roe v. Wade (1973) in the Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization (2022), Harris claimed, “Women have died because of these laws.”

She has repeatedly mentioned the name Amber Nicole Thurman, suggesting that she died due to Georgia’s law restricting abortion.

Yet Thurman died after she took the abortion pill, which caused complications and left parts of her twin unborn babies inside her.

Thurman legally obtained abortion pills in North Carolina to end the lives of her unborn twins, but she could not know without an ultrasound (which the FDA had required only a few years beforehand). Five days later, she began to abort the twins, but both babies’ remains remained in her uterus. She began to develop sepsis and went to the hospital.

Doctors hospitalized her, but she died before they could perform a dilation and curettage to remove the remaining parts of her unborn babies.

Harris blamed Thurman’s death on a law restricting abortion, but the law would not prevent the removal of the babies’ remains when they were already dead. The FDA’s loosened restrictions on the abortion pill, not Georgia’s law, is arguably to blame for this tragic death.

'WOMEN HAVE DIED': Kamala Harris claimed that "women have died because of these laws," referencing state laws restricting abortion after Dobbs v. Jackson.

Yet the cases she repeatedly brings up, those of Amber Nicole Thurman and Candi Miller, actually have more to do with the… pic.twitter.com/sTKIdvYcEp

— Tyler O'Neil (@Tyler2ONeil) October 24, 2024

Prefer to Run on the Problem

Harris repeated her claim that Trump killed a bipartisan border bill earlier this year “because he’d prefer to run on a problem instead of fixing a problem.”

Yet critics have warned that the bill would have cemented Biden’s open-border policies into law.

Cooper pressed Harris on why the Biden administration used executive orders to reverse many Trump border policies in January 2021. He noted that illegal aliens crossed the border in large numbers after those orders, and the numbers only decreased when Biden issued other executive orders. He asked her whether she regrets the weaker border policies.

Harris replied that only Congress could solve the ultimate problem. Cooper again pressed her on whether Biden should have issued the 2024 executive orders sooner, and she replied, “I think we did the right thing.”

'I THINK WE DID THE RIGHT THING': Kamala Harris tells Anderson Cooper she does not regret the Biden-Harris administration's executive orders reversing Trump's border policies, even after she acknowledged that later executive actions helped stem the border crisis. pic.twitter.com/UGdXVBIVPv

— Tyler O'Neil (@Tyler2ONeil) October 24, 2024

(DCNF)—A CNN panel got into a heated debate Tuesday as the network’s senior political commentator Scott Jennings brought up second gentleman Doug Emhoff’s alleged mistreatment of women.

The panel discussed rapper Eminem’s harsh criticisms of Republican nominee Donald Trump’s during a rally in Detroit, Michigan, alongside former President Barack Obama. Jennings said that Eminem has said derogatory words about women and even allegedly promoted domestic violence, but yet the public continues to chastise Trump for his alleged treatment of women.

“I think this Eminem thing, I got to tell you. So everything that’s said about Donald Trump and his treatment of women and the gender gap in this campaign. This rapper, who I fully admit has sold a lot of records, if you’ve read some of the things he has said about the promotion of domestic violence against women,” Jennings said, leading commentator Bakari Sellers to interrupt. “No, no, Bakari, I listened to your entire filibuster, if you could just give me 13 seconds.”

Jennings then pointed to the allegations against Emhoff, who has been accused of slapping his ex-girlfriend, making “misogynistic” and “sexist” remarks to his former female staffers and of impregnating his nanny while married to his first wife, Kirsten. Sellers then interrupted Jennings to call his statements “B.S.,” while CNN host Abby Phillips falsely said Trump had been found liable of rape.

“So when you think about the things [Eminem] has said in order to sell those records, and you also consider some of the questions that are swirling around Harris’ own husband in this regard,” Jennings said, before being interrupted once again.

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“Oh my god,” Sellers said. “Okay, you don’t even get 12 seconds. I’m not gonna let you go into the far end of B.S.”

“We’re gonna stop here for a second,” Phillips said. “Alright, but Scott, I just have to say, I’ll take those concerns seriously if you also express concerns about the allegations [against Trump]. He’s been found liable of rape, Donald Trump has. So that’s also true, so we’re not going to litigate those other things, but you can’t just pick and choose.”

Phillips referred to the case against Trump brought forth by former Elle Magazine columnist E. Jean Carroll in 2023, who alleged that the former president raped her in 1995 or 1996 in a dressing room at Manhattan’s Bergdorf Goodman department store. The jury in the case found Trump not liable of rape, but liable of defamation and sexual assault.

Emhoff admitted to having an affair with his children’s nanny while still married to Kirsten Emhoff, prompting his then-wife to end their 16-year marriage when she learned about the infidelity in 2009, according to the Daily Mail.

The second gentleman’s former colleagues alleged that he would make “inappropriate” and “misogynistic” remarks toward the women staffers at Venable’s Los Angeles Office, a law firm that he managed from 2006 to 2017, according to the Daily Mail. He allegedly would be flirty with the “young, pretty girls” and shout expletives at his staff.

Emhoff has also been accused of slapping his ex-girlfriend during an alcohol-fueled fight over whether she had flirted with another guy after a Foundation for AIDS Research (amfAR) charity event.

The second gentleman said all of these allegations coming to light are “all a distraction” by his political opponents during an Oct. 11 interview with MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough.

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(DCNF)—CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten on Monday said former President Donald Trump’s substantial gains with nonwhite voters could be countered by a slight decline among “non-college white voters.”

Trump currently holds slim leads over Vice President Kamala Harris in all of the top seven battleground states, according to the RealClearPolling averages. Enten, on “CNN News Central,” suggested Trump risks losing the election in November if he doesn’t maintain his support among “non-college white voters,” a demographic that represents a significant share of American voters, particularly in certain critical battleground states.

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“It’s been a key demographic for him. It’s been his base and this is what’s so interesting, because we’ve seen so many groups this year moving in Donald Trump’s direction. So you would think his core group, his base of support would be doing the same. But in fact, it’s moving a little bit away from him. So this is Trump’s margin with non-college white voters,” Enten told host John Berman. “Unlike most voting blocs, this group is not moving towards him, it’s actually moving slightly away. So you go back eight years ago, where he won ’em by 33, You go back four years ago, he won ’em by 31.”

“Now what we look is we see them, the latest average of polls, he’s only up by 27. Now that may not seem like a lot, but given that we’re seeing these double digit gains, say among black voters or among Hispanic voters in some of the polls, the fact that we’re seeing this core group of supporters actually moving away from him, not just off of the 2016 baseline, but the 2020 baseline as well,” he continued. “I think that’s a rather interesting development.”

Trump has made inroads with key Democratic voting blocs, including black and Hispanic voters, according to a recent New York Times/Siena College poll.

“Why can a small difference with this group matter? Because look at what percentage of the electorate that they make up. So we can look nationally, right? Look at this, non-college white voters make up 40% of the electorate. That’s more than college whites at 29%. All other groups, voters of color at 28%,” Enten added. “So this is something that we’ve seen throughout the board, right? Which is that Donald Trump is making huge gains with groups that make up a smaller percentage of the electorate while he’s losing a little bit. But these groups that he’s losing a little bit of make up a much larger portion of the electorate.”

“But more than that, you know, we’re talking about the U.S. of A where they make up 40%. Why don’t you go to those key Great Lake battleground states, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin? They have out-sized import in those Great Lake battleground states,” he said. “Non-college white voters, look at this. They make up the slim majority of voters at 51%, way more than college whites at 30%, way more than all other voters at 16%. So if you’re seeing movement in the Great Lake battleground states among non-college whites, that could be a very big development, John.”

The data reporter noted that Trump is shedding some support from this demographic in these crucial swing states. Trump is leading Harris 1.2% in Michigan, but only holds a .8% lead in Pennsylvania and a .2% advantage in Wisconsin, according to the RealClearPolling averages

“And when you have a shrinking margin for Donald Trump, among his core group that makes up the majority of voters, it can make up for big shifts amongst smaller groups of the electorate and this is why Kamala Harris has still in the ball game right now,” Enten said. “It’s because even though she’s losing big league, she’s losing big league among groups that make up a small portion electorate and she’s making it up among groups that make up a big portion electorate, even if the movements are small. But it’s clear here.”

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Over 200 people were killed by Hurricane Helene, with people in North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia still struggling to recover from wind damage and flooding. Singleton noted that the Biden-Harris administration had given hundreds of billions of dollars to Ukraine compared to the response to the devastation in western North Carolina and other parts of the southeastern United States caused by the hurricane, after “CNN NewsNight” host Abby Phillip pointed out that Russia started the Ukraine War.

“I agree with that. Putin obviously started the war. I am not negating that,” Singleton said. “My point is that a lot of people look at how much money we spent on this conflict and they‘re asking themselves, ‘My roads are crumbling, my schools suck. We just had major disasters across the country, FEMA doesn‘t have enough money.’”

“By the way, I don’t live in that country. I don‘t live in that country, by the way. America is not that horrible,” Stelter said, prompting Singleton to respond, “Brian, if you get out of New York and talk to regular people —”

Stelter interrupted Singleton, saying he wasn’t a resident of New York but was in a “normal city.”

“My roads are not — I love New York, but my roads are not crumbling, my schools don’t suck. I just get tired of the anti-America rhetoric,” Stelter claimed.

The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) gave American roads a “D” grade in March 2021, citing “staggering maintenance backlogs.” Schools have struggled to return to pre-pandemic levels of student performance, despite a $190 billion infusion from the Biden-Harris administration.

After some back-and-forth, Singleton told Stelter to let him finish making his point.

“There are a lot of Americans who don’t live in great cities, who do have to send their kids to terrible schools. That is a fact because of their zip codes,” Singleton said. “And to sit here arrogantly and say, ‘My kids go to great schools, I live in a great neighborhood,’ that‘s your experience, not the experience of most people in this country.”

“The roads are crumbling? Where —” Stelter asked, with Singleton cutting him off with, “Come on, bro.”

(Featured Image Media Credit: Screenshot/Rumble/CNN)

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President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by about 1 point, 49.6% to 48.9%, after leading Trump by 8 points in the final polls, indicating that the current polls may be overestimating Vice President Kamala Harris’ lead in the current polls weeks before the 2024 election, Enten said. Harris and Trump both have an over 80% chance of winning the election if they secure Wisconsin, he said, making it a “pivotal” state to win.

“One of the real questions I have is whether the polls are actually going to be any good this time around, because you’ll look in 2020, what you see in the final polls in Wisconsin, you saw Biden up by 8 [points],” Enten said. “The actual result was Biden by a point, now I’ll note, I rounded that number up, I think it was 0.63 percentage points. So the question is, are the polls actually gonna be right this time around or are they gonna, again, underestimate Donald Trump? If so, Donald Trump is in a very strong position in the Badger State.”

Harris has an 82% chance and Trump an 88% chance of securing the 270 electoral necessary to win the election if they are able to secure Wisconsin, making the state is “more pivotal” for Harris to win than it is for the former president, Enten added.

“Chance they win the election if they win Wisconsin, for Kamala Harris, if she wins Wisconsin, 82% chance she wins the election,” Enten said. “For Donald Trump, it’s an 88% chance if he wins the election because the bottom line is, for Kamala Harris, the state of Wisconsin is more pivotal than it is for Donald Trump. It’s part of, of course, that Great Lake wall.”

Harris is leading Wisconsin by a narrow 0.3%, 47.9% to 47.6%, according to FiveThirtyEight. The vice president is tightly leading in Michigan 47.7% to 47.1% and in Pennsylvania 48% to 47.5%, according to more FiveThirtyEight polling.

Biden won Michigan by about 3 points in 2020, though a FiveThirtyEight poll indicated he led Trump by nearly 8 points. He also won Pennsylvania 50% to 48.8%, though a FiveThirtyEight poll indicated he led the then-president by nearly 5 points.

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(DCNF)—CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten expressed surprise Monday at the degree to which “young black men” are abandoning the Democratic Party

Former President Barack Obama on Thursday urged black men to support Vice President Kamala Harris while speaking at a Pittsburgh-area campaign office, asserting he believes a reason for their reluctance to back her is that they “aren’t feeling the idea of having a woman as president.” Enten, on “CNN News Central,” said Obama was likely mistaken in his criticism as “young black men” have increasingly been leaving the Democratic Party over multiple elections against former President Donald Trump.

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“I look at the polls all the time and sometimes there’s a trend line, now, I never noticed before and make me go, ‘Woah.’ This is one of them. Alright, this is the Democratic margin among black men under the age of 45 in presidential elections. You go back to November of 2012, what do you see? You see Obama by 81, [former Secretary of State] Hillary Clinton only won ’em by 63,” Enten said. “Then we’re all the way down to [President Joe] Biden last time around by 53. A tremendous drop already. And then you take a look at the average of the most recent polls and Kamala Harris is up by only 41 points.”

“That is about half the margin that Obama won them by back in November of 2012. And this I think is, you know, when Barack Obama goes and last week when he was in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania to essentially talking to young black men, he made it seem like it was a Kamala Harris-specific problem,” he added. “Uh-uh. This is part of a longstanding trend of young black men moving away from the Democratic Party. And Kamala Harris is just the latest to face that magnitude of black, younger black men going towards Republicans.”

Black voters have shifted away from Democrats from 2016 to 2024, according to a Saturday New York Times/Siena College poll. During the 2016 election, only 7% of black voters favored Republicans, a number now at 15%.

While Trump is gaining traction with “working class voters,” including nonwhite Americans without college degrees and union members, Enten previously noted that Harris could offset his gains with her “ridiculously” strong support among college graduates, particularly “white college grads.”

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Despite Harris having a full week of sit-down interviews with the media, polls have shown former President Donald Trump and Harris nearly deadlocked in key swing states. On CNN’s “State of the Union,” Urban criticized Harris’ week, noting how fellow lawmakers, like Democratic Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, received major backlash online after releasing an unusual, staged video with MSNBC columnist Liz Plank.

“She had a terrible week. It was a terrible week for the Harris campaign. You had Gretchen Whitmer having to apologize to Catholics across America for mocking them with some Dorito, bizarro Dorito thing on there. You had governor Elmer Fudd out hunting and not knowing how to load his shotgun using the wrong gun, at the same time — ” Urban said.

“At the same time, you have Barack Obama in Pennsylvania where he derided people who own guns. Remember? Claiming people in Pennsylvania were bitter and they cling to guns and religion,” Urban continued. “Remember that in 2008? So they’re trying to appeal to those folks at the same time while he alienates black male voters by chastising. So they had a really tough week.”

However, Democratic strategist Doug Thornell intervened and pushed back against Urban, criticizing Trump’s performance and noting that Harris’ positive for the week was releasing her medical records.

“So first of all, Kamala Harris released her medical records, Trump hasn’t. That was this week,” Doug Thornell said. “He goes to Detroit and insults an entire city and insults a lot of black people there. His economic plan came out and by outside economic analysis, they said it would raise costs and raise debt on the American people. So Trump didn’t really have a great week either. I think many times he goes out there — ”

“[Releasing] medical records, that’s the high point of your week? You’re really grasping at straws,” Urban interrupted.

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Thornell continued to push back against Urban, questioning whether Pennsylvania voters still remember former President Barack Obama’s 2008 comment to them, before CNN’s Scott Jennings joined the argument.

“I don’t think if I were in your party, with all due respect, I wouldn’t want to be arguing about the hiding of medical conditions and medical records, given who the current president of the United States is,” Jennings hit back.

While Thornell criticized Trump in response, Jennings asked to finish his statement and continued to call out Harris for dropping poll numbers.

“Number two, I think the polling this morning and the week, I think David’s right. It was a rough week. I mean, her faves are down. They’re struggling with — I mean, the front page of The New York Times this morning, front-page story, Democrats struggling with African American voters, particularly African American men,” Jennings said.

“This gender gap issue is real. It’s a real problem and you see the Democrats reacting to it. I think what they are now finally in October — the election — coming to realize is that a lot of men think Democrats care more about dudes who want to become women than dudes who just want to be dudes. No hunting, cosplay or cringey videos is going to change it — the bed is made,” Jennings concluded.

NBC News’ latest national poll shows Harris and Trump in a deadlock just three weeks before Election Day, with each receiving 48% support.

In recent weeks, political pundits have warned the Democratic Party about the former president’s appeal to key Democratic voting blocs. The latest New York Times poll, released Sunday, shows Harris trailing by six points among Hispanic voters compared to President Joe Biden’s 2020 election results. The former president has also gained support among black voters, with New York Times polling data showing him receiving 15% support, up from 9% in 2020.

Featured Image: Screenshot/CNN/”State of the Union”

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(DCNF)—CNN panelist and Axios senior contributor Margaret Talev said Friday that Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 5-point lead in Nevada is “worrisome for Democrats.”

A Wall Street Journal poll released Friday measuring the presidential candidates’ polling in seven swing states found Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris 47% to 42% in Nevada. Talev said Trump’s lead is likely a result of the voters in Nevada prioritizing the economy and immigration as their top issues.

“It’s pretty worrisome if you’re a Democrat and you’re looking at Nevada,” Talev said. “I do think the economy and the way economic issues and inflation have played are very important in Nevada. I also think, like, both President Biden and Vice President Harris have not been able to regain that really solid lead that Democrats have held in years past with the Latino community, and Latino voters, overall as a bloc, clearly prefer the Democratic candidate to the Republican candidate. But there’s been some slide.”

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The former president holds a 54% to 38% advantage over Harris on the economy and leads 56% to 31% on immigration in Nevada, according to the poll.

The race is essentially tied in six of the swing states, with Harris leading by 1 or 2 points in Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin, according to the poll. Trump is leading by 1 point in Pennsylvania and North Carolina.

Trump leads Harris 46% to 45% across all of the seven swing states, according to the poll. Across all of the swing states, the former president holds a 10-point lead against Harris on the economy, 50% to 40%, and secures a 52% to 36% lead on immigration.

The poll surveyed 600 registered voters in each swing state between Sept. 28 and Oct. 8 with a 5% margin of error.

The panel then aired a survey conducted by the Pew Research Center, which found Harris leading among Latino voters 54% to 39%. The panel said these results are “bad for Democrats” as Harris is lagging with Latino voters in comparison to past elections.

“It’s bad for Democrats. The interesting thing to me is the way the immigration issue plays into this,” CNN senior political analyst Giorgia Borger said. “There’s a lot of Latino voters who say, ‘look, I don’t like Donald Trump because he’s anti-immigrant’ and then there’s a bloc of Latino voters who oppose illegal immigration because they came in and got their citizenship and they don’t want to make it easier for anybody else, they think that would be unfair.”

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Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a tight race across seven key battleground states, according to the RealClearPolling average and Enten’s aggregate of polling data. The data reporter, on “CNN News Central,” noted that if Trump outperforms his polling numbers by the same margin he did against President Joe Biden in 2020, he will win enough battleground states to defeat Harris by a substantial margin.

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“If the polls are exactly right, Kamala Harris gets 276 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 262 because she carries those Great Lake battleground states despite losing North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. But let’s say we have a polling miss like we had in 2020,” Enten said. “What happens then? Well, then Donald Trump wins the election in a blowout with 312 electoral votes because he carries all these Great Lake battleground states plus Nevada, plus the other states he was leading in — Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia.”

“What happens if we have a polling miss like 2022? Well, in that particular case, now, the winner has flipped again. And Kamala Harris wins in a blowout with 319 electoral votes because she retakes those Great Lake battleground states, carries North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona,” he added. “So the bottom line here is, yes, we have those state polling averages. But the real thing they tell us is that this race is too close to call. We’re probably not going to know who’s going to win for another month and perhaps another month and change.”

NBC News national political correspondent Steve Kornacki said in September that, despite Harris’ slim advantage over Trump at the time, the former president has a significant chance of victory in the electoral college because he has outperformed polling expectations in both of his previous presidential elections.

“Take a look here at the last two elections, 2020, 2016, the polling at this point coming out of Labor Day, beginning the fall rush,” Kornacki told host Ana Cabrera. “In 2016, Hillary Clinton led on average by five points. Of course, Donald Trump won in 2016. And Joe Biden had an even bigger lead on average, Labor Day 2020. Donald Trump didn’t win that election, but certainly in the electoral college, he came this close to doing so, Ana. So Trump has run from behind before, certainly.”

Trump has also been gaining support from “working class voters,” such as nonwhite Americans without college degrees and union members. Enten on Monday said that Harris could offset the former president’s gains with her substantial backing among college graduates, “specifically white voters with a college degree.”

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