Michael Barone is a senior political analyst for the Washington Examiner, resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and longtime co-author of The Almanac of American Politics.
Was it just a coincidence that Vice President Kamala Harris showed up, 15 minutes late, to be interviewed by Fox News anchor Bret Baier a day before Nate Silver’s poll aggregation website showed her chances of winning the election slipping below 50%? Probably not.
What may link Harris’ slide in the polls and her tardy appearance for an interview in which she served up word salads to Baier’s questions on illegal immigration and inflation and then segued, sometimes awkwardly, to denunciations of former President Donald Trump?
October hasn’t been a good month for Harris or her party.
Nor has it been an entirely bad one. Silver’s model still gives her a 47% chance of winning, much higher than Trump’s 29% on election eve 2016. But it’s perceptibly below her 57% chance Sept. 27, which reflected poll results after the Sept. 10 debate. […]
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